Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Seslar S.
Own Goal
60'
60'
Sub
Lucas In: Quansah J.
Out: Lucas
61'
61'
Sub
Terrier M. In: Moreira A.
Out: Terrier M.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League game between Bayer Leverkusen and Celje finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Bayer Leverkusen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bayer Leverkusen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 19%
Celje Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Europa League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayer Leverkusen Compare
Top Goalscorer Medina F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Celje Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayer Leverkusen 85 / 100
Celje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayer Leverkusen Celje
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayer Leverkusen scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Celje has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Bayer Leverkusen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bayer Leverkusen VS Celje
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayer Leverkusen
(Home) 16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Wehen
0 : 4 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 Sevilla
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 RW Essen
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Genk
Page 1 of 3
Celje
(Away) 16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1 Celje
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1 Koper
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2 Celje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1 Celje
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
12 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1 Celje
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2 Celje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1 Celje
19 Aug
Slovan Bratislava
1 : 1 Celje
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 | Din. Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 | H. Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
