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Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus Prediction & H2H Stats

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Champions League 2025/2026 BayArena, Leverkusen
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Maza I. In: Poku E.
Out: Maza I.
66'
Sub
Taremi M. In: El Kaabi A.
Out: Taremi M.
66'
Sub
Chiquinho In: Andre Luiz
Out: Chiquinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bayer Leverkusen
20%
Draws
40%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen have won more games recently than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bayer Leverkusen, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 19%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:0
Feb 18, 2026 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Jan 20, 2026 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
Oct 29, 2002 Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
Sep 18, 2002 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Bayer Leverkusen
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen 31 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Olympiacos Piraeus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen VS Olympiacos Piraeus
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen

(Home)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 7

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1