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Bayer Leverkusen vs Sevilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sierra M.
32'
36'
Sub
Culbreath M. In: Hofmann J.
Out: Culbreath M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bayer Leverkusen and Sevilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bayer Leverkusen
15%
Draws
37%
Sevilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sevilla haven't matched Bayer Leverkusen's recent run of results.
  • Bayer Leverkusen are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 18%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Sevilla
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.61 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayer Leverkusen vs Sevilla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schick P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sevilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierra M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen 36 / 100
Sevilla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen Sevilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sevilla has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bayer Leverkusen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen VS Sevilla
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen

(Home)
31 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 4
VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
5 : 2
Nurnberg
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
18 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1
Freiburg
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Sevilla

(Away)
29 Oct
Hortaleza
0 : 3
Sevilla
26 Oct
Sevilla
2 : 0
Osasuna
18 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Sevilla
12 Oct
Levante
3 : 3
Sevilla
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
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