Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga BayArena, Leverkusen
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bayer Leverkusen have averaged 2.52 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against VfB Stuttgart's 2.61 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 to VfB Stuttgart's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.69) point toward Bayer Leverkusen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bayer Leverkusen
15%
Draws
38%
VfB Stuttgart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen come out ahead of VfB Stuttgart on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 13%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.52 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
1:4
Mar 16, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen
3:4
Nov 1, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 Super Cup
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen 35 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

VfB Stuttgart has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen VS VfB Stuttgart
2.5 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen

(Home)
18 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1
Freiburg
15 Oct
Lech Poznan
0 : 4
Bayer Leverkusen
10 Oct
Mainz
3 : 4
Bayer Leverkusen
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Celje
Page 1 of 6

VfB Stuttgart

(Away)
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
14 Oct
Slovan Bratislava
0 : 3
VfB Stuttgart
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2
VfB Stuttgart
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0
Greuther Furth
25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0
Heidenheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 11:4 14
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
5 Mainz 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
6 Elversberg 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
7 RB Leipzig 6 3 0 3 16:11 9
8 Werder Bremen 6 2 3 1 12:12 9
9 Hamburger 6 3 0 3 6:15 9
10 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 16:12 8
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 10:16 8
12 1. FC Koln 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
13 VfB Stuttgart 6 2 0 4 8:10 6
14 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
15 Schalke 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
16 Paderborn 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
17 Union Berlin 6 1 2 3 5:17 5
18 B. Monchengladbach 6 0 0 6 8:20 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)