Sport Picks
Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 BayArena, Leverkusen 
Match Events
16'
16'
Wind J.
Assist: Koulierakis K.
29'
29'
Maehle J.
30'
30'
Grimaldo A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Bayer Leverkusen in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayer Leverkusen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Bayer Leverkusen have won more games recently than Wolfsburg.
- Model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bayer Leverkusen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 16%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg
6:3
Nov 22, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:3
Feb 8, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg
4:3
Mar 10, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayer Leverkusen Compare
Top Goalscorer Grimaldo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tapsoba E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Wolfsburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Wind J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maehle J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayer Leverkusen 36 / 100
Wolfsburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayer Leverkusen Wolfsburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayer Leverkusen found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Wolfsburg conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Bayer Leverkusen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bayer Leverkusen VS Wolfsburg
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayer Leverkusen
(Home) 08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 Sevilla
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 RW Essen
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Genk
25 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 3 Bayer Leverkusen
18 Jul
Baumberg
0 : 7 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 Sevilla
01 Aug
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 RW Essen
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Genk
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 Hamburger
02 May
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 3
Wolfsburg
(Away) 08 Aug
Wolfsburg
0 : 0 Kaiserslautern
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1 Telstar
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2 Lyon
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0 Verl
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8 Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Schoningen
2 : 8 Wolfsburg
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1 Wolfsburg
16 May
St. Pauli
1 : 3 Wolfsburg
03 May
Freiburg
1 : 1 Wolfsburg
18 Apr
Union Berlin
1 : 2 Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
