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Stadium Background

Bayer Leverkusen W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Fudalla V.
Assist: Kogel K.
50'
Fordos B.
53' Event
Frohlich C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Bayer Leverkusen W and 1.FC Nurnberg W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bayer Leverkusen W
33%
Draws
27%
1.FC Nurnberg W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • 1.FC Nurnberg W haven't matched Bayer Leverkusen W's recent run of results.
  • Bayer Leverkusen W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayer Leverkusen W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 17%
1.FC Nurnberg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W 1.FC Nurnberg W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:1
Feb 12, 2024 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Sep 30, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fudalla V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bender L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

1.FC Nurnberg W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 39 / 100
1.FC Nurnberg W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W 1.FC Nurnberg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

1.FC Nurnberg W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Bayer Leverkusen W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS 1.FC Nurnberg W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211