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Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Tanikawa M.
36' Event
Tomasiak P.
51' Event
Gilles V.
Assist: Gwinn G.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between Bayer Leverkusen W and Bayern Munich W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bayer Leverkusen W
15%
Draws
44%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich W come out ahead of Bayer Leverkusen W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bayern Munich W a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayern Munich W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 20 29
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 2.34 2.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W
2:3
Dec 22, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomasiak P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilles V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Imade E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 26 / 100
Bayern Munich W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Bayern Munich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bayern Munich W conceded in 47% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Bayern Munich W
3.13 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen W

(Home)
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
27 Sept
Viktoria Berlin W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3
Bayern Munich W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
Page 1 of 6

Bayern Munich W

(Away)
03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)