Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kett F.
Assist: Damnjanovic J.
25'
Turanyi L.
25' Event
Harder P.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Bayer Leverkusen W and Bayern Munich W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bayer Leverkusen W
11%
Draws
9%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich W come out ahead of Bayer Leverkusen W on wins alone.
  • Bayer Leverkusen W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayern Munich W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 16%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 25
Draws 1 3
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 2.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W
2:3
May 4, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Bayern Munich W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kett F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 75 / 100
Bayern Munich W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Bayern Munich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bayer Leverkusen W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bayern Munich W has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Bayern Munich W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen W

(Home)
18 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen W
6 : 0
Liberec W
11 Jul
PSV W
1 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen W
04 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 0
Mainz W
17 May
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 3
Werder Bremen W
11 May
RB Leipzig W
1 : 3
Bayer Leverkusen W
Page 1 of 6

Bayern Munich W

(Away)
17 May
Hamburger W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
14 May
Wolfsburg W
0 : 4
Bayern Munich W
09 May
Bayern Munich W
2 : 0
Eintracht Frankfurt W
06 May
Bayern Munich W
1 : 1
Hoffenheim W
03 May
Barcelona W
4 : 2
Bayern Munich W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)