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Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion, Leverkusen
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Zdebel S.
24'
Borggrafe R.
25'
Sub
Borggrafe R. In: Voll C.
Out: Borggrafe R.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between Bayer Leverkusen W and Werder Bremen W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Bayer Leverkusen W
15%
Draws
31%
Werder Bremen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 15%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayer Leverkusen W Werder Bremen W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 0 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.32 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
3:2
May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
6:0
Feb 12, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kramer C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Loonen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Werder Bremen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weiss M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayer Leverkusen W 30 / 100
Werder Bremen W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayer Leverkusen W Werder Bremen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayer Leverkusen W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Werder Bremen W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Bayer Leverkusen W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayer Leverkusen W VS Werder Bremen W
3 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayer Leverkusen W

(Home)
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
27 Sept
Viktoria Berlin W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3
Bayern Munich W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
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Werder Bremen W

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
26 Sept
Bochum W
0 : 1
Werder Bremen W
21 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 1
VfB Stuttgart W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)