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Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Allianz Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayern Munich play 1. FC Koln in the Bundesliga 2025/2026. Bayern Munich are favorites here. Recently, Bayern Munich averaged 3.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. 1. FC Koln averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Bayern Munich won 5, 1. FC Koln won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.94 for Bayern Munich and 1.88 for 1. FC Koln. This points to a Bayern Munich double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bayern Munich
6%
Draws
4%
1. FC Koln
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayern Munich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bayern Munich has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to 1. FC Koln.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bayern Munich.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Bundesliga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 10%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayern Munich 1. FC Koln
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 28 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 3.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln
5:1
Jan 14, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
1:3
Oct 29, 2025 DFB Pokal
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
1:4
Apr 13, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln
2:0
Nov 24, 2023 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayern Munich Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bischof T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer El Mala S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayern Munich 83 / 100
1. FC Koln 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayern Munich 1. FC Koln

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayern Munich scored in 100% of their last 34 games.

1. FC Koln let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bayern Munich went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

1. FC Koln lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayern Munich VS 1. FC Koln
3.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich342851122:3689
2Dortmund34227570:3473
3RB Leipzig34205966:4765
4VfB Stuttgart34188871:4962
5Hoffenheim34187965:5261
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:4759
7Freiburg341381351:5747
8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:6544
9Augsburg341271545:6143
10Mainz3410101444:5340
11Union Berlin341091544:5839
12B. Monchengladbach349111442:5338
13Hamburger349111440:5438
141. FC Koln347111649:6332
15Werder Bremen34881837:6032
16Wolfsburg34781945:6929
17Heidenheim34682041:7226
18St. Pauli34682029:6026