Sport Picks
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Allianz Arena, Munich 
Match Events
18'
18'
Musiala J.
Assist: Davies A.
38'
38'
Uduokhai F.
39'
39'
Kane H.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern Munich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Bayern Munich carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Bayern Munich's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 18%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayern Munich | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 30 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 3.43 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
7:0
Mar 21, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
4:0
Dec 3, 2025 DFB Pokal
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
2:3
Nov 8, 2025 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayern Munich Compare
Top Goalscorer Olise M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Musiala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56
Union Berlin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayern Munich 85 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayern Munich Union Berlin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayern Munich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayern Munich found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (37 games).
Union Berlin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Bayern Munich has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bayern Munich VS Union Berlin
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayern Munich
(Home) 18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0 Bodo/Glimt
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Bayern Munich
02 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 4 Bayern Munich
Page 1 of 8
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0 Bodo/Glimt
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
15 Aug
Bayern Munich
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
07 Aug
Bayern Munich
2 : 1 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 4
Union Berlin
(Away) 26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1 Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3 Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1 Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
23 Aug
Braunschweig
2 : 4 Union Berlin
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1 Union Berlin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
