Sport Picks
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Allianz Arena, Munich 
Match Events
21'
21'
Upamecano D.
Assist: Kimmich J.
52'
52'
Vagnoman J.
55'
55'
Olise M.
Assist: Kimmich J.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bayern Munich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Bayern Munich carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bayern Munich here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 68%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 3.67 | 2.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart
5:1
May 23, 2026 DFB Pokal
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart
3:0
Apr 19, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart
4:2
Dec 6, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich
0:5
Aug 16, 2025 Super Cup
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayern Munich Compare
Top Goalscorer Upamecano D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olise M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Vagnoman J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayern Munich 41 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayern Munich VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayern Munich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayern Munich's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Bayern Munich has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: VfB Stuttgart conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bayern Munich VS VfB Stuttgart
3.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayern Munich
(Home) 17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1 RB Leipzig
13 Oct
Viking
3 : 3 Bayern Munich
10 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayern Munich
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1 RB Leipzig
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0 Bodo/Glimt
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
15 Aug
Bayern Munich
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 3
VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
14 Oct
Slovan Bratislava
0 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
14 Oct
Slovan Bratislava
0 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Mainz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
