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Bayern Munich W vs Freiburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women FC Bayern Campus, Munich
Bayern Munich W Logo

Bayern Munich W

4 - 1
FT
Freiburg W Logo

Freiburg W

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Ojukwu N.
18' Event
Tanikawa M.
42' Event
Gilles V.
Assist: Buhl K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bayern Munich W in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayern Munich W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bayern Munich W
15%
Draws
35%
Freiburg W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayern Munich W have won more games recently than Freiburg W.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Bayern Munich W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayern Munich W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 19%
Freiburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayern Munich W Freiburg W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 26 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 2.87 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Freiburg W
4:1
Feb 6, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Freiburg W vs Bayern Munich W
1:4
Sep 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Freiburg W
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Freiburg W
3:1
Nov 24, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Freiburg W vs Bayern Munich W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanikawa M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gilles V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Freiburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Birkholz L. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayern Munich W 85 / 100
Freiburg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayern Munich W Freiburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayern Munich W found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Bayern Munich W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Freiburg W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayern Munich W VS Freiburg W
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayern Munich W

(Home)
03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
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Freiburg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Koln W
0 : 1
Freiburg W
26 Sept
Andernach W
1 : 2
Freiburg W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
06 Sept
Bayern Munich W
4 : 1
Freiburg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)