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Bayern U19 vs Sporting CP U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 FC Bayern Campus, Munich
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gashi Y.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Cardozo M.
20' Event
Silva G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bayern U19
20%
Draws
38%
Sporting CP U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayern U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bayern U19 haven't matched Sporting CP U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bayern U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bayern U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayern U19 Sporting CP U19
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Bayern U19 vs Sporting CP U19
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayern U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardozo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olychenko B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taibo Dominguez L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayern U19 38 / 100
Sporting CP U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayern U19 Sporting CP U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bayern U19 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Sporting CP U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Bayern U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayern U19 VS Sporting CP U19
3.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayern U19

(Home)
10 Sept
Bayern U19
6 : 1
Bodo/Glimt U19
29 Aug
Bayern U19
4 : 2
Ingolstadt U19
23 Aug
Bayern U19
3 : 1
Ingolstadt U19
19 Aug
Bayern U19
1 : 6
VfB Stuttgart U19
15 Aug
Freiberg U19
0 : 4
Bayern U19
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1
Sporting CP U19
08 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 0
Casa Pia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)