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Baykonur Kyzylorda vs Igilik

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baykonur Kyzylorda play Igilik in the First Division 2022. Igilik are favorites here. Recently, Baykonur Kyzylorda averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. Igilik averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. In past meetings, Baykonur Kyzylorda won 1, Igilik won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Baykonur Kyzylorda and 1.94 for Igilik. This points to a Igilik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Baykonur Kyzylorda
15%
Draws
64%
Igilik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igilik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Baykonur Kyzylorda picked up more points recently compared to Igilik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Baykonur Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 10%
Igilik Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baykonur Kyzylorda Igilik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 0.73 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 First League
Baykonur Kyzylorda vs Igilik
1:2
May 22, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Baykonur Kyzylorda
1:0
Jul 12, 2021 First League
Igilik vs Baykonur Kyzylorda
1:0
Apr 17, 2021 First League
Baykonur Kyzylorda vs Igilik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baykonur Kyzylorda Compare

Top Goalscorer Meshitkaliyev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Igilik Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulakhmetov S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baykonur Kyzylorda 21 / 100
Igilik 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baykonur Kyzylorda Igilik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igilik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Igilik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baykonur Kyzylorda attacking → ← attacking Igilik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baykonur Kyzylorda scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Igilik let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Baykonur Kyzylorda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Igilik lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 24
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717