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Bayonne vs Avranches - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pi J.
52' Event
Martins L.
70' Event
Doucoure I.

AI Match Summary

Avranches in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avranches.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bayonne
20%
Draws
47%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bayonne have won more games recently than Avranches.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Avranches taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bayonne have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 24%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Avranches
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Bayonne vs Avranches
0:3
Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Bayonne
0:2
Dec 12, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Avranches
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Pi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 21 / 100
Avranches 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bayonne scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Avranches's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bayonne remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Avranches
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayonne

(Home)
30 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 3
Avranches
17 Oct
Dinan
0 : 2
Bayonne
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 6

Avranches

(Away)
30 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 3
Avranches
17 Oct
Avranches
2 : 0
Tarbes
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)