Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayonne vs La Roche Vendee

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ros M.
44'
Morel E.
48' Event
De Lima M.

AI Match Summary

Bayonne in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bayonne
30%
Draws
32%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Bayonne's 1.5.
  • Model gives Bayonne a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 68%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.5 1.83
Goals Conceded 1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs La Roche Vendee
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 National 1 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Bayonne
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ros M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Lima M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

La Roche Vendee Compare

Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 50 / 100
La Roche Vendee 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne La Roche Vendee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayonne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Bayonne remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bayonne scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

La Roche Vendee let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS La Roche Vendee
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayonne

(Home)
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
21 Aug
Granville
1 : 3
Bayonne
Page 1 of 6

La Roche Vendee

(Away)
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)