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Bayonne vs La Roche Vendee

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ros M.
44'
Morel E.
48' Event
De Lima M.

AI Match Summary

Bayonne in this National 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bayonne
44%
Draws
20%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee have won more games recently than Bayonne.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 16%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Bayonne vs La Roche Vendee
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 National 2 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Bayonne
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ros M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Lima M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

La Roche Vendee Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 36 / 100
La Roche Vendee 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne La Roche Vendee

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayonne found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Bayonne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

La Roche Vendee let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS La Roche Vendee
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325