Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group A

Bayonne

2 - 1

Les Herbiers

Our Tip

Match Events

Fiquet A.

27'

Montavit T.

88'

Hattab D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Bayonne and Les Herbiers finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Bayonne

39%

Draws

31%

Les Herbiers

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Bayonne carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Bayonne Clean Sheet 68%

Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bayonne	Les Herbiers
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	16	14
Draws	3	5
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.25	2
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 National 2 - Group A

Bayonne vs Les Herbiers

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Dec 5, 2025 National 2 - Group A

Les Herbiers vs Bayonne

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

May 12, 2007 National 2 - Group C

Les Herbiers vs Bayonne

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Dec 23, 2006 National 2 - Group C

Bayonne vs Les Herbiers

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Montavit T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hattab D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiquet A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 41 / 100

Les Herbiers 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bayonne Les Herbiers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayonne's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Les Herbiers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Bayonne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Les Herbiers

1.25 Goals Scored 2

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche Vendee	30	19	8	3	61:27	65
2	Bordeaux	30	19	5	6	51:28	62
3	Bayonne	30	17	4	9	42:27	55
4	Saint-Malo	30	13	11	6	43:29	50
5	Les Herbiers	30	14	7	9	45:33	49
6	Angouleme CFC	30	11	10	9	33:36	43
7	Dinan	30	12	5	13	44:45	41
8	Avranches	30	10	10	10	46:41	40
9	Chauray	30	11	5	14	35:38	38
10	St. Colomban Locmine	30	9	10	11	31:34	37
11	Montlouis	30	7	10	13	42:50	31
12	Lorient II	30	9	5	16	38:51	31
13	Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant	30	8	6	16	25:47	30
14	Granville	30	6	11	13	32:41	29
15	Saumur Olympique	30	6	10	14	37:56	28
16	Stade Poitevin	30	5	11	14	21:43	25