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Bayonne vs Les Herbiers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Brelivet B.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Bayonne and Les Herbiers finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bayonne
15%
Draws
32%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Les Herbiers haven't matched Bayonne's recent run of results.
  • Bayonne are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 20%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Les Herbiers
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.54
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Bayonne vs Les Herbiers
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Les Herbiers
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Bayonne
2:0
May 12, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Les Herbiers vs Bayonne
1:1
Dec 23, 2006 National 1 - Group C
Bayonne vs Les Herbiers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Brelivet B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 76 / 100
Les Herbiers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayonne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 37 matches.

Bayonne scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bayonne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Les Herbiers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayonne

(Home)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

Les Herbiers

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)