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Bayonne vs Saumur Olympique

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayonne play Saumur Olympique in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bayonne averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Saumur Olympique averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Bayonne won 2, Saumur Olympique won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Bayonne and 0.69 for Saumur Olympique. This points to a Bayonne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bayonne
6%
Draws
4%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayonne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bayonne has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Saumur Olympique.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bayonne.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2 - Group A provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 20%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayonne Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Bayonne vs Saumur Olympique
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs Bayonne
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer De Lima M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fortunato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecoz Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Epagna S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayonne 85 / 100
Saumur Olympique 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayonne Saumur Olympique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayonne scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Saumur Olympique let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bayonne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayonne VS Saumur Olympique
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325