Sport Picks
Bayonne vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
National 1 - Group B 
Match Events
18'
18'
Bentil G.
43'
43'
Fortunato M.
47'
47'
Traore N.
AI Match Summary
Bayonne in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayonne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bayonne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bayonne have won more games recently than Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant.
- Bayonne are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bayonne here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 20%
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bayonne | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Bayonne vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2:1
May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant vs Bayonne
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bayonne Compare
Top Goalscorer Fortunato M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Traore N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant Compare
Top Goalscorer Bentil G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bayonne 76 / 100
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bayonne Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayonne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bayonne scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Recent resilience: Bayonne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bayonne VS Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bayonne
(Home) 02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1 Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2 Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1 Bayonne
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0 Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1 Les Herbiers
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
29 Aug
Bayonne
1 : 0 Saumur Olympique
16 May
Bayonne
3 : 2 Saumur Olympique
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2 Bordeaux
Page 1 of 3
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
(Away) 03 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
3 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2 Pontivy
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0 Tarbes
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
3 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
16 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
02 May
Montlouis
1 : 1 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angouleme CFC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Bayonne | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Granville | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Avranches | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 5 | Dinan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 11 |
| 6 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 7 | Tarbes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 9 |
| 8 | Lorient II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Le Poire Sur Vie | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Briochin | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 11 | Les Herbiers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 12 | St. Colomban Locmine | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Saumur Olympique | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 14 | Pontivy | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 15 | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:10 | 3 |
| 16 | Chauray | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
