Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayreuth vs Burghausen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Scheder P.
55' Event
Bachschmid F.
68' Event
Diowo T.

AI Match Summary

Burghausen in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burghausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bayreuth
15%
Draws
53%
Burghausen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burghausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Burghausen haven't matched Bayreuth's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 10%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayreuth Burghausen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Burghausen
2:4
Apr 10, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Bayreuth
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Burghausen
0:2
May 2, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Bayreuth
3:1
Oct 18, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs Burghausen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayreuth Compare

Top Goalscorer Scheder P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ham M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Burghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachschmid F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diowo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayreuth 30 / 100
Burghausen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayreuth Burghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayreuth's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Burghausen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bayreuth remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayreuth VS Burghausen
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayreuth

(Home)
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Bayreuth
0 : 2
Unterhaching
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
Page 1 of 6

Burghausen

(Away)
26 Sept
Burghausen
3 : 1
Munich 1860
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Memmingen 11 6 3 2 13:7 21
3 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
4 Unterhaching 9 5 3 1 12:7 18
5 Vfb Eichstatt 11 5 3 3 14:15 18
6 Burghausen 11 5 2 4 27:19 17
7 Munich 1860 10 4 5 1 20:13 17
8 Vilzing 10 4 4 2 17:15 16
9 Augsburg II 11 4 3 4 18:23 15
10 Bayern II 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
11 Bayreuth 11 4 1 6 17:18 13
12 Eltersdorf 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
14 Nurnberg II 10 3 1 6 18:17 10
15 Furth II 10 3 1 6 14:17 10
16 Ansbach 10 3 1 6 10:21 10
17 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 11 2 3 6 11:22 9
18 TSV Aubstadt 10 2 2 6 14:19 8
19 Landsberg 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)