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Bayreuth vs TSV Aubstadt

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Regionalliga Bayern
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Match Events

83' Event
Shaqiri E.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern game between Bayreuth and TSV Aubstadt finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayreuth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bayreuth
15%
Draws
28%
TSV Aubstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayreuth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayreuth come out ahead of TSV Aubstadt on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bayreuth's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 16%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayreuth TSV Aubstadt
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs TSV Aubstadt
1:0
May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Bayreuth
4:0
Nov 7, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs TSV Aubstadt
2:3
Apr 26, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs TSV Aubstadt
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Bayreuth
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayreuth Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaqiri E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

TSV Aubstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayreuth 39 / 100
TSV Aubstadt 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayreuth TSV Aubstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayreuth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayreuth scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: TSV Aubstadt conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: TSV Aubstadt has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bayreuth VS TSV Aubstadt
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayreuth

(Home)
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Bayreuth
0 : 2
Unterhaching
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
04 Sept
Bayreuth
2 : 4
Burghausen
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TSV Aubstadt

(Away)
26 Sept
Augsburg II
3 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2
Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3
Unterhaching
04 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 0
Ansbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 11 8 3 0 25:9 27
2 Memmingen 11 6 3 2 13:7 21
3 Unterhaching 10 5 4 1 14:9 19
4 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Vfb Eichstatt 11 5 3 3 14:15 18
6 Burghausen 11 5 2 4 27:19 17
7 Munich 1860 10 4 5 1 20:13 17
8 Vilzing 10 4 4 2 17:15 16
9 Augsburg II 11 4 3 4 18:23 15
10 Bayern II 10 4 2 4 13:11 14
11 Bayreuth 11 4 1 6 17:18 13
12 Eltersdorf 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
14 Nurnberg II 10 3 1 6 18:17 10
15 Furth II 10 3 1 6 14:17 10
16 Ansbach 10 3 1 6 10:21 10
17 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 11 2 3 6 11:22 9
18 TSV Aubstadt 10 2 2 6 14:19 8
19 Landsberg 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)