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Bayside United vs Acacia Ridge

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Anthony S.
19' Event
Askew C.
26' Event
Anthony S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bayside United in this Brisbane Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayside United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bayside United
30%
Draws
34%
Acacia Ridge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bayside United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayside United lately — more wins on the board than Acacia Ridge.
  • Bayside United are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bayside United Clean Sheet 10%
Acacia Ridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayside United Acacia Ridge
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Bayside United
3:2
Mar 27, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs Acacia Ridge
4:2
Nov 7, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs Acacia Ridge
1:2
Sep 5, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Bayside United vs Acacia Ridge
2:3
Mar 14, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Bayside United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayside United Compare

Top Goalscorer Askew C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Theodore B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Acacia Ridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Anthony S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayside United 34 / 100
Acacia Ridge 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayside United Acacia Ridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayside United found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Acacia Ridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bayside United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bayside United VS Acacia Ridge
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414