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Bayswater vs Perth RedStar

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Frank Drago Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Sutton C.
82' Event
Teece C.
89' Event
Teece C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Bayswater and Perth RedStar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayswater.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Bayswater
15%
Draws
18%
Perth RedStar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayswater come out ahead of Perth RedStar on wins alone.
  • Bayswater are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 18%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayswater Perth RedStar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth RedStar
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Bayswater
2:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Bayswater vs Perth RedStar
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Bayswater
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Perth RedStar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bayswater Compare

Top Goalscorer Teece C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sutton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Perth RedStar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayswater 85 / 100
Perth RedStar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayswater Perth RedStar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayswater Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayswater scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Bayswater went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Perth RedStar let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bayswater VS Perth RedStar
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bayswater

(Home)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Bayswater
5 : 3
Olympic Kingsway
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
14 Aug
Bayswater
6 : 2
Stirling Macedonia
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

Perth RedStar

(Away)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)