Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bayterek Astana vs CSKA Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Almaty in this First Division 2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bayterek Astana
39%
Draws
30%
CSKA Almaty
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Almaty have won more games recently than Bayterek Astana.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bayterek Astana Clean Sheet 10%
CSKA Almaty Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayterek Astana CSKA Almaty
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2015 First League
Bayterek Astana vs CSKA Almaty
0:2
Jun 27, 2015 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Bayterek Astana
4:0
Sep 7, 2014 First League
CSKA Almaty vs Bayterek Astana
0:1
Jun 7, 2014 First League
Bayterek Astana vs CSKA Almaty
1:1
Aug 28, 2013 First League
Bayterek Astana vs CSKA Almaty
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayterek Astana 30 / 100
CSKA Almaty 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayterek Astana CSKA Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Almaty has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bayterek Astana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bayterek Astana found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Bayterek Astana VS CSKA Almaty
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Akzhayik Uralsk24172560:2153
2Vostok Oskemen24155437:2250
3Shakhtar Bulat24153640:2348
4Kyzylzhar24144641:1946
5Kaspij Aktau24127535:1843
6Spartak Semey24116734:1939
7FK Kyran24106838:2836
8Maqtaaral24711622:1732
9CSKA Almaty24831329:4627
10FC Ekibastuz24751221:3126
11Baykonur Kyzylorda24641419:3822
12Bayterek Astana24241813:5210
13Taraz-Karatau 22420224:596