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Bdin Vidin vs Partizan Cerven Brjag

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bdin Vidin play Partizan Cerven Brjag in the Third League - North-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bdin Vidin averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Partizan Cerven Brjag averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Bdin Vidin won 2, Partizan Cerven Brjag won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Bdin Vidin and 1.19 for Partizan Cerven Brjag. This points to a Bdin Vidin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bdin Vidin
32%
Draws
24%
Partizan Cerven Brjag
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Bdin Vidin picked up more points recently compared to Partizan Cerven Brjag.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 20%
Partizan Cerven Brjag Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bdin Vidin Partizan Cerven Brjag
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Bdin Vidin
0:0
May 3, 2025 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Bdin Vidin
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
0:0
May 13, 2023 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Bdin Vidin
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bdin Vidin 44 / 100
Partizan Cerven Brjag 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bdin Vidin Partizan Cerven Brjag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bdin Vidin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bdin Vidin attacking → ← attacking Partizan Cerven Brjag

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bdin Vidin scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Partizan Cerven Brjag let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bdin Vidin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Partizan Cerven Brjag lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 35
3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lokomotiv Mezdra22191262:2058
2Akademik Svishtov22173240:1154
3Kom Berkovitsa22136346:2245
4Bdin Vidin22141757:2643
5Partizan Cerven Brjag2286825:2530
6Pavlikeni22931029:2430
7Etar II2285932:3129
8Yantra Polski Trambesh22661037:4724
9OFK Levski22651132:3523
10Troyan22511620:5616
11Juventus Malchika22211914:724
12FC Lovech22601618:4318