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BE1 NFA vs Dainava Alytus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
0 - 0
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA host Dainava Alytus in the I Lyga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: BE1 NFA at 1.69 goals for, 1.14 against; Dainava Alytus at 1.66 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, BE1 NFA have won 1 to Dainava Alytus's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.63) point toward BE1 NFA. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
BE1 NFA
15%
Draws
18%
Dainava Alytus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • BE1 NFA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • BE1 NFA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 20%
Dainava Alytus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA Dainava Alytus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs BE1 NFA
1:2
Jul 10, 2022 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs BE1 NFA
1:1
Mar 20, 2022 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Dainava Alytus
1:1
Sep 25, 2018 I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs BE1 NFA
1:0
May 11, 2018 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Dainava Alytus
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 85 / 100
Dainava Alytus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA Dainava Alytus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: BE1 NFA stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: BE1 NFA scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Dainava Alytus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS Dainava Alytus
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

Dainava Alytus

(Away)
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)