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BE1 NFA vs FK Atmosfera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA host FK Atmosfera in the I Lyga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: BE1 NFA at 1.79 goals for, 1 against; FK Atmosfera at 1.55 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor BE1 NFA slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 0.94, favoring BE1 NFA. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
BE1 NFA
30%
Draws
27%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BE1 NFA lately — more wins on the board than FK Atmosfera.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on BE1 NFA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 20%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs BE1 NFA
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Atmosfera
1:3
May 10, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs BE1 NFA
2:4
Aug 17, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs BE1 NFA
1:0
Jun 26, 2024 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Atmosfera
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 42 / 100
FK Atmosfera 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BE1 NFA scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

FK Atmosfera has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

BE1 NFA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS FK Atmosfera
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
24 Oct
Tauras Taurage
1 : 2
BE1 NFA
16 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Neptunas
09 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 2
Dainava Alytus
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 6

FK Atmosfera

(Away)
24 Oct
FK Atmosfera
3 : 0
Jonava
17 Oct
Zalgiris 2
2 : 3
FK Atmosfera
10 Oct
Garliava
0 : 0
FK Atmosfera
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 28 22 4 2 52:13 70
2 FK Minija 27 22 1 4 71:18 67
3 BE1 NFA 27 18 3 6 50:27 57
4 Zalgiris 2 28 15 4 9 44:36 49
5 BFA Vilnius 28 14 4 10 42:41 46
6 Neptunas 28 14 2 12 33:35 44
7 Dainava Alytus 28 12 8 8 40:29 44
8 Tauras Taurage 27 13 5 9 48:37 44
9 FK Atmosfera 27 10 7 10 43:35 37
10 Garliava 28 9 5 14 34:32 32
11 Jonava 28 8 6 14 31:38 30
12 Transinvest 2 28 8 4 16 35:61 28
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 28 9 1 18 27:45 28
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 28 7 2 19 31:67 23
15 Ekranas 28 5 3 20 29:62 18
16 Siauliai 2 28 4 5 19 31:65 17
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)