Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BE1 NFA vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gudaitis T.
Penalty Missed
74' Event
Dziugas M.
90' Event
Pocius V.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BE1 NFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
BE1 NFA
15%
Draws
38%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BE1 NFA lately — more wins on the board than FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on BE1 NFA taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BE1 NFA have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.81 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:0
May 2, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BE1 NFA
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BE1 NFA
0:4
Jun 1, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BE1 NFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziugas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 40 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

BE1 NFA has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

BE1 NFA scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
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FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)