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BE1 NFA vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gudaitis T.
51' Event
Eidukaitis D.
66' Event
Gudaitis T.

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BE1 NFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
BE1 NFA
15%
Draws
50%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • BE1 NFA have won more games recently than Zalgiris 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 14%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BE1 NFA Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Zalgiris 2
2:1
Jul 23, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs BE1 NFA
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
Aug 28, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs BE1 NFA
0:1
Apr 10, 2023 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Zalgiris 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BE1 NFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudaitis T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eidukaitis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BE1 NFA 35 / 100
Zalgiris 2 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BE1 NFA Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BE1 NFA's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zalgiris 2 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

BE1 NFA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BE1 NFA VS Zalgiris 2
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BE1 NFA

(Home)
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
14 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
08 Aug
FK Minija
3 : 0
BE1 NFA
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 22 17 4 1 38:7 55
2 FK Minija 21 18 1 2 55:12 55
3 Neptunas 22 13 2 7 30:27 41
4 BE1 NFA 21 13 2 6 38:24 41
5 Tauras Taurage 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
6 Zalgiris 2 22 11 4 7 36:31 37
7 Dainava Alytus 21 10 6 5 33:20 36
8 BFA Vilnius 22 11 3 8 33:31 36
9 FK Atmosfera 21 7 5 9 31:28 26
10 Jonava 22 7 5 10 26:28 26
11 Garliava 21 6 4 11 23:23 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 22 6 1 15 24:50 19
13 Transinvest 2 22 5 3 14 24:52 18
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 21 5 1 15 18:34 16
15 Siauliai 2 22 3 5 14 20:47 14
16 Ekranas 22 3 2 17 21:50 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)