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Stadium Background

BEA Mountain vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
BEA Mountain Logo

BEA Mountain

7 - 3
FT
Freeport Logo

Freeport

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BEA Mountain in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 7-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
BEA Mountain
35%
Draws
14%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Freeport haven't matched BEA Mountain's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on BEA Mountain taking it.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 16%
Freeport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BEA Mountain Freeport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.27 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Orange Cup
BEA Mountain vs Freeport
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Freeport
7:3
Nov 20, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs BEA Mountain
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Freeport
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs BEA Mountain
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BEA Mountain 84 / 100
Freeport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BEA Mountain Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BEA Mountain's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Freeport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: BEA Mountain stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BEA Mountain VS Freeport
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BEA Mountain

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 6

Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)