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Stadium Background

BEA Mountain vs Liberia Registry

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between BEA Mountain and Liberia Registry finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
BEA Mountain
15%
Draws
27%
Liberia Registry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • BEA Mountain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans BEA Mountain's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • BEA Mountain have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 68%
Liberia Registry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BEA Mountain Liberia Registry
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.23 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Liberia Registry
3:1
Oct 30, 2025 LFA First Division
Liberia Registry vs BEA Mountain
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Liberia Registry
3:2
Nov 20, 2024 LFA First Division
Liberia Registry vs BEA Mountain
2:3
Apr 7, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Liberia Registry
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BEA Mountain 95 / 100
Liberia Registry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BEA Mountain Liberia Registry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BEA Mountain found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Liberia Registry's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

BEA Mountain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BEA Mountain VS Liberia Registry
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BEA Mountain

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 7

Liberia Registry

(Away)
18 May
Discoveries
1 : 0
Liberia Registry
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
25 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Wologizi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)