Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beaconsfield Town vs Kempston

England England

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Beaconsfield Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Beaconsfield Town
15%
Draws
28%
Kempston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beaconsfield Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Beaconsfield Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kempston's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Beaconsfield Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Beaconsfield Town, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Beaconsfield Town Clean Sheet 16%
Kempston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beaconsfield Town Kempston
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2018 FA Trophy
Beaconsfield Town vs Kempston
3:1
Oct 27, 2018 FA Trophy
Kempston vs Beaconsfield Town
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beaconsfield Town 23 / 100
Kempston 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beaconsfield Town Kempston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kempston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kempston let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Beaconsfield Town's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Kempston has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Beaconsfield Town VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beaconsfield Town

(Home)
29 Aug
Beaconsfield Town
1 : 2
Sheppey United
01 Aug
Beaconsfield Town
5 : 4
Kingstonian
06 Sept
Fareham
4 : 1
Beaconsfield Town
26 Jul
Bedfont Sports
1 : 3
Beaconsfield Town
22 Jul
Beaconsfield Town
0 : 7
St. Albans
Page 1 of 7

Kempston

(Away)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Basford Utd. -
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Peterborough Sports 2
Cambridge City 4
Rushall -
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Stafford -
Stamford 1
Belper Town 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
Leek Town 5
Stourbridge -
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Kettering -
Stalybridge -
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Nantwich -
Buxton -
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King’s Lynn -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
FC Wisbech Town 3
Corby 2
Yaxley 3
Frickley 3
Skelmersdale 1
Trafford 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
AFC Mansfield 2
Soham 1
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Hednesford -
Pickering Town 3
Stocksbridge 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Droylsden 3
Neots -
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Matlock -
Barwell -
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Coalville Town -
Lancaster -
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Marine -
Clitheroe 3
Pontefract Collieries 2
Colwyn Bay 0
Ossett United 6
Newcastle Town 2
Gresley 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic -
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Workington -
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries 3
Radcliffe 2
Cleethorpes 3
Gainsborough -
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Tamworth -
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Warrington Town -
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Kendal 1
Prescot Cables 5
Alvechurch -
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Stratford -
Redditch -
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Mickleover -
Witton Albion -
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Whitby -
St Ives Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Farsley -
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Morpeth 3
Brighouse Town 4
Bedworth United -
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Spalding United 1
Carlton Town 4
South Shields -
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North Ferriby United -
Bamber Bridge -
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Hyde -
Brightlingsea -
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Cray Wanderers 0
Canvey Island 2
Ramsgate 2
Phoenix Sports 1
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Hornchurch -
Lewes -
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Westfield 2
Ashford Town 3
Farnborough -
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Merthyr Town -
Chipstead 2
Welwyn Garden 1
South Park 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers -
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Grays 2
Sevenoaks 4
Whyteleafe 4
Hastings 2
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Tonbridge -
Hendon -
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Staines -
Harrow Borough -
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Biggleswade Town -
Basingstoke -
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Wimborne -
Lowestoft -
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Enfield Town -
Royston Town -
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Chalfont St Peter 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Paulton Rovers 0
Larkhall 0
Thame United 1
Horsham FC 3
Ware 1
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Corinthian-Casuals -
Margate -
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Potters -
Brentwood 4
Marlow 1
Bedfont Sports 1
Whitstable Town 4
Frome Town -
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Poole Town -
Herne Bay 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
AFC Dunstable 0
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley -
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Needham Market -
Leiston -
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Hanwell Town 1
VCD Athletic 3
Thatcham 2
Cirencester 0
Slimbridge 2
Melksham 3
Salisbury -
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Barnstaple Town 1
Fleet Town 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Great Wakering 0
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Merstham -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Banbury -
Hitchin -
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Barking 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police -
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Carshalton -
Whitehawk -
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Harlow -
Weymouth -
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Taunton Town -
Cinderford Town 5
Moneyfields 0
Bideford 2
Street 3
Yate 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
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Dorchester -
Gosport Borough -
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North Leigh 2
AFC Totton 6
Aveley 2
Basildon 1
Northwood 0
Dunstable Town 2
Kempston 3
Dereham 1
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Beaconsfield Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Worthing FC -
Haringey Borough -
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Chesham -
Walton Casuals -
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Three Bridges 0
Molesey 1
Bracknell Town 3
Haywards Heath 2
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Bognor Regis -
Folkestone -
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Leatherhead -
Didcot 2
Hertford Town 1
Kidlington 0
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Egham Town 1
Aylesbury United 2
Mildenhall 3
Hythe 2
Romania 0
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Stortford -
Hartley Wintney -
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Tiverton -
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 0
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Semi-finals
Basford Utd. 2
Cambridge City 1
Rushall 1
Stafford 2
Stamford 1
Leek Town 0
Stourbridge 0
Kettering 2
Stalybridge 1
Nantwich 0
Buxton 5
King’s Lynn 4
FC Wisbech Town 1
Yaxley 3
Frickley 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
AFC Mansfield 2
Hednesford 1
Pickering Town 5
Droylsden 4
Neots 1
Matlock 0
Barwell 4
Coalville Town 3
Lancaster 2
Marine 0
Clitheroe 1
Ossett United 2
Newcastle Town 5
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Workington 1
Marske United 2
Cleethorpes 0
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 3
Halesowen 4
Grantham Town 0
Warrington Town 0
Prescot Cables 1
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 4
Redditch 0
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 1
Whitby 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Farsley 4
Brighouse Town 1
Bedworth United 0
Carlton Town 1
South Shields 4
North Ferriby United 0
Bamber Bridge 0
Hyde 3
Brightlingsea 1
Canvey Island 0
Ramsgate 0
Hornchurch 6
Lewes 2
Ashford Town 1
Farnborough 2
Merthyr Town 3
Chipstead 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Kingstonian 3
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
Sevenoaks 1
Whyteleafe 1
Tonbridge 2
Hendon 2
Staines 1
Harrow Borough 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 4
Wimborne 2
Lowestoft 0
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Thame United 4
Horsham FC 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Margate 1
Potters 2
Brentwood 3
Whitstable Town 1
Frome Town 1
Poole Town 2
Herne Bay 2
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley 0
Needham Market 2
Leiston 3
VCD Athletic 1
Thatcham 1
Melksham 2
Salisbury 3
Fleet Town 0
East Grinstead Town 0
Merstham 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Banbury 4
Hitchin 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Carshalton 4
Whitehawk 2
Harlow 3
Weymouth 3
Taunton Town 1
Cinderford Town 3
Street 6
Yate 1
Dorchester 3
Gosport Borough 1
AFC Totton 2
Aveley 1
Dunstable Town 0
Kempston 2
Beaconsfield Town 4
Burgess Hill 2
Worthing FC 3
Haringey Borough 3
Chesham 4
Walton Casuals 1
Molesey 0
Bracknell Town 4
Bognor Regis 5
Folkestone 5
Leatherhead 1
Didcot 5
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Mildenhall 2
Hythe 1
Stortford 2
Hartley Wintney 2
Tiverton 6
Sittingbourne 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
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Final
Basford Utd. 4
Stafford 0
Stamford 1
Kettering 0
Stalybridge 2
Buxton 1
Yaxley 3
Ramsbottom Utd 7
AFC Mansfield 2
Pickering Town 4
Neots 0
Barwell 1
Lancaster 1
Ossett United 0
Newcastle Town 2
Workington 7
Marske United 2
Tamworth 0
Halesowen 3
Prescot Cables 2
Stratford 2
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Farsley 4
Carlton Town 0
South Shields 2
Hyde 1
Brightlingsea 2
Hornchurch 1
Lewes 2
Merthyr Town 0
Chipstead 2
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 1
Tonbridge 0
Hendon 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 2
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 5
Thame United 2
Horsham FC 1
Potters 0
Brentwood 3
Poole Town 6
Herne Bay 0
Needham Market 1
Leiston 2
Melksham 1
Salisbury 2
Merstham 0
Banbury 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Carshalton 3
Harlow 1
Weymouth 3
Street 2
Dorchester 3
AFC Totton 1
Aveley 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
Worthing FC 1
Chesham 0
Walton Casuals 2
Bognor Regis 0
Folkestone 3
Didcot 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Stortford 0
Tiverton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
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