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Beasain vs Alaves C

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ormazabal I.
45' Event
57' Event
Aldasoro B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Beasain and Alaves C finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beasain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Beasain
30%
Draws
41%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alaves C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alaves C come out ahead of Beasain on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alaves C a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Beasain Clean Sheet 12%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beasain Alaves C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Beasain vs Alaves C
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Beasain
3:2
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Alaves C
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Alaves C
4:1
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Beasain
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beasain Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormazabal I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aldasoro B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alaves C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beasain 22 / 100
Alaves C 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beasain Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Beasain scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Alaves C has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Beasain went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beasain VS Alaves C
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Beasain

(Home)
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
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Alaves C

(Away)
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
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