Sport Picks
Beasain vs Aurrera Ondarroa
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
4'
4'
Iriondo A.
77'
77'
Eizmendi A.
88'
88'
Eizagirre B.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Beasain and Aurrera Ondarroa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beasain.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beasain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Beasain carry the better recent record into this one.
- Beasain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Beasain here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Beasain Clean Sheet 18%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beasain | Aurrera Ondarroa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Beasain
2:3
Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Aurrera Ondarroa
3:0
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Aurrera Ondarroa
3:0
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Beasain
1:4
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Beasain
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beasain Compare
Top Goalscorer Iriondo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eizmendi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Aurrera Ondarroa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beasain 85 / 100
Aurrera Ondarroa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beasain Aurrera Ondarroa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beasain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Beasain scored in 72% of their last 36 games.
Aurrera Ondarroa let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Beasain went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Beasain VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Beasain
(Home) 29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3 Valle Egues
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1 Alaves C
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1 Touring KE
03 May
Beasain
3 : 2 Zaragoza B
Page 1 of 8
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3 Valle Egues
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1 Alaves C
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1 Touring KE
03 May
Beasain
3 : 2 Zaragoza B
19 Apr
Beasain
1 : 1 UD Logrones
Page 1 of 4
Aurrera Ondarroa
(Away) 11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3 Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3 Aurrera Ondarroa
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Aurrera Ondarroa
05 Apr
SCD Durango
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
23 Mar
CD Vitoria
3 : 1 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 65:17 | 82 |
| 2 | Basconia | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 3 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 63 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 45:29 | 61 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43:33 | 57 |
| 7 | SCD Durango | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:47 | 50 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 49:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Leioa | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 11 | Derio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Alaves C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 13 | Touring KE | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Padura | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 23:42 | 34 |
| 16 | Anaitasuna FT | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:51 | 32 |
| 17 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:54 | 24 |
| 18 | Anorga | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
