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Beasain vs Tolosa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Beasain Logo

Beasain

2 - 1
FT
Tolosa Logo

Tolosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beasain in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beasain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Beasain
20%
Draws
0%
Tolosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beasain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beasain lately — more wins on the board than Tolosa.
  • Win probability leans Beasain's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Beasain Clean Sheet 17%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beasain Tolosa
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 12 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.39 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Tolosa
2:1
Sep 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Beasain
1:2
Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Beasain
1:0
Dec 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Tolosa
1:0
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Beasain
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beasain 84 / 100
Tolosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beasain Tolosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beasain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tolosa conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Tolosa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Beasain found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (41 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Beasain VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beasain

(Home)
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
Page 1 of 9

Tolosa

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)