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Beasain vs Uritarra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Beasain
20%
Draws
51%
Uritarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uritarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Uritarra haven't matched Beasain's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Beasain Clean Sheet 17%
Uritarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beasain Uritarra
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Uritarra
1:1
Sep 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Uritarra vs Beasain
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beasain 36 / 100
Uritarra 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beasain Uritarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uritarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uritarra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Beasain found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (40 games).

Beasain has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Beasain VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beasain

(Home)
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
Page 1 of 8

Uritarra

(Away)
30 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
23 Apr
CD Vitoria
1 : 0
Uritarra
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 2
Uritarra
02 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 3
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)