Sport Picks

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Bebri vs Lielupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bebri in this Latvian Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 8-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bebri
15%
Draws
42%
Lielupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bebri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lielupe haven't matched Bebri's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bebri a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Bebri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bebri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%
Lielupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bebri Lielupe
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.26 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2016 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Lielupe
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bebri 34 / 100
Lielupe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bebri Lielupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lielupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Bebri found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Lielupe's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bebri VS Lielupe
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bebri

(Home)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 7

Lielupe

(Away)
31 May
Lielupe
0 : 6
FK Metta
17 May
FK Union / JFK Daugava
5 : 0
Lielupe
02 Jun
Lielupe
1 : 2
Rigas Futbola Skola
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1
Valka
12 Jun
Beitar
5 : 3
Lielupe
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 3
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
Mersrags -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Upesciems 1
TBD -
Saldus -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Aliance -
TBD -
Salaspils FK 0
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Dinamo Riga 1
Ludzas SK 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Fortuna / Ogre -
TBD -
Grobina 3
Kraslava 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
Plavinas 1
Nica FC 2
Igate/Tami-Tami 4
Riga United 1
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Bebri -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
FK Dobele 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/32-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 6
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 1
Rezekne 2
Caramba 6
FK Alberts 0
DSVK Traktors 2
Mersrags 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
Saldus -
Valmiera 0
SK Babite 6
Ogre 1
Preilu BJSS 0
Aliance 1
SK Cesis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 3
Alberts JDFS 0
Dinamo Riga 0
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 17
JFC Dobele 0
Fortuna / Ogre 0
Kraslava 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Nica FC 1
Igate/Tami-Tami 0
Tukums 2000 6
Bebri 6
FK Dobele 2
TBD -
Lielupe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/16-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 1
Rezekne 16
Caramba 8
Mersrags 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Metta -
TBD -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
SK Babite 3
Ogre 4
SK Cesis 0
TBD -
RFS -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
Jekabpils SC 2
Skonto 5
Kraslava 0
TBD -
Jelgava -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 2
Tukums 2000 4
Bebri 8
Lielupe 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
1/8-finals
Ventspils 2
Rezekne 0
Caramba 2
FK Liepaja 5
FK Metta 2
SK Babite 0
Ogre 0
RFS 7
Spartaks Jurmala 10
Jekabpils SC 0
Skonto 0
Jelgava 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Tukums 2000 0
Bebri 0
Riga FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ventspils 3
FK Liepaja 0
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Jelgava 0
BFC Daugavpils 0
Riga FC 3
Semi-finals
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 4
Final
Ventspils 3
Riga FC 2