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Bebri vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2017
Bebri Logo

Bebri

0 - 6
FT
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valmiera in this 1. Liga 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bebri
15%
Draws
69%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Valmiera have won more games recently than Bebri.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Valmiera have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bebri Clean Sheet 15%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bebri Valmiera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 1 3.03
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2017 1. Liga
Bebri vs Valmiera
0:6
Jul 29, 2017 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Bebri
5:0
Jul 30, 2016 1. Liga
Bebri vs Valmiera
1:3
Apr 2, 2016 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Bebri
1:0
Aug 1, 2015 1. Liga
Bebri vs Valmiera
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bebri 10 / 100
Valmiera 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bebri Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Bebri found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Valmiera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Bebri has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bebri

(Home)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
01 Aug
Valmiera
2 : 1
RFS 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
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