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Becerril vs Mansilles

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Muelas M. B.
69' Event
Celada R.

AI Match Summary

Mansilles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Becerril
30%
Draws
37%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mansilles lately — more wins on the board than Becerril.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Becerril Clean Sheet 17%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Becerril Mansilles
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Mansilles
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Becerril
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Becerril vs Mansilles
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Becerril
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Becerril Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Muelas M. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celada R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Becerril 31 / 100
Mansilles 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Becerril Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Becerril's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Becerril has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Mansilles conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Becerril VS Mansilles
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Becerril

(Home)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Bembibre
4 : 1
Becerril
26 Apr
Becerril
2 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
18 Apr
La Virgen
0 : 1
Becerril
12 Apr
Becerril
0 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Mansilles

(Away)
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)