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Bedfont Sports vs Harlow

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bedfont Sports play Harlow in the FA Trophy 2021/2022. Bedfont Sports are favorites here. Recently, Bedfont Sports averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Harlow averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Bedfont Sports won 1, Harlow won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 30, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Bedfont Sports and 1.08 for Harlow. This points to a Bedfont Sports double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Bedfont Sports
15%
Draws
29%
Harlow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedfont Sports

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Bedfont Sports picked up more points recently compared to Harlow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.08 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Bedfont Sports Clean Sheet 22%
Harlow Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bedfont Sports Harlow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 FA Trophy
Bedfont Sports vs Harlow
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedfont Sports 55 / 100
Harlow 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bedfont Sports Harlow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedfont Sports Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bedfont Sports & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bedfont Sports attacking → ← attacking Harlow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bedfont Sports scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Harlow let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bedfont Sports went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Harlow lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.17
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33