Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bedford vs Buxton

England England

National League North The Eyrie, Bedford
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Johnston J.
45' Event
Evans R.
69' Event
Moncur G.

AI Match Summary

Bedford in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bedford
15%
Draws
53%
Buxton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Buxton have won more games recently than Bedford.
  • Bedford are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bedford have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bedford Clean Sheet 19%
Buxton Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bedford Buxton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Buxton
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Bedford
3:0
Nov 11, 2025 National League North
Bedford vs Buxton
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moncur G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnston J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedford 36 / 100
Buxton 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bedford Buxton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bedford found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Buxton conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bedford has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bedford VS Buxton
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bedford

(Home)
18 Aug
Bedford
2 : 1
Buxton
15 Aug
Bedford
2 : 3
Darlington FC
08 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 0
Bedford
01 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0
Bedford
18 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 6

Buxton

(Away)
18 Aug
Bedford
2 : 1
Buxton
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1
Buxton
08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Hereford
01 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 2
Buxton
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chester 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 South Shields 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
3 Hebburn Town 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Macclesfield 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
5 Oxford City 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
6 Scarborough Athletic 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
7 Hereford 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
8 Worksop 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
9 Harborough 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
10 Merthyr Town 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
11 Spalding United 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
12 Buxton 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
13 King’s Lynn 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
14 Brackley 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
15 Spennymoor 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
16 Chorley 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
17 Darlington FC 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
18 Bedford 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
19 Southport 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
20 Telford 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
21 Morecambe 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
22 Hednesford 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
23 Marine 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
24 Radcliffe 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)