Sport Picks
Bedford vs Darlington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
38'
38'
Nto E.
41'
41'
McLaughlin P.
45'
45'
Stanton E.
AI Match Summary
Darlington FC in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Darlington FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bedford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bedford lately — more wins on the board than Darlington FC.
- Model gives Bedford a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Darlington FC here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bedford Clean Sheet 20%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bedford | Darlington FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Darlington FC
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 National League North
Darlington FC vs Bedford
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 National League North
Bedford vs Darlington FC
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bedford Compare
Top Goalscorer Nto E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Payne J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Darlington FC Compare
Top Goalscorer McLaughlin P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Stanton E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bedford 49 / 100
Darlington FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bedford Darlington FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bedford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Bedford scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Darlington FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Bedford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bedford VS Darlington FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bedford
(Home) 10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0 Bedford
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1 King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1 King’s Lynn
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0 Radcliffe
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 4
Darlington FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4 Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0 Darlington FC
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4 Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
31 Aug
Radcliffe
0 : 1 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 6 | King’s Lynn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Hednesford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 14 | Harborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 15 | Worksop | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 15 |
| 16 | Brackley | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 19 | Scarborough Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 22 | Telford | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 7 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
