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Bedford vs Hereford

England England

National League North The Eyrie, Bedford
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bedford host Hereford in the National League North. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Bedford at 1.34 goals for, 1.28 against; Hereford at 1.55 for, 1.33 against. Head-to-head, Bedford have won 0 to Hereford's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.69) back Bedford to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bedford
15%
Draws
42%
Hereford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hereford average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Bedford's 1.34.
  • Hereford are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Bedford Clean Sheet 13%
Hereford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bedford Hereford
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Hereford
2:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Bedford
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedford 19 / 100
Hereford 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bedford Hereford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bedford's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hereford has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Bedford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bedford VS Hereford
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bedford

(Home)
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

Hereford

(Away)
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1
Hereford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)