Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Brogan M.
9'
9'
Castiglione J.
54'
54'
Moncur G.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Bedford and Leamington finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bedford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bedford come out ahead of Leamington on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bedford Clean Sheet 19%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bedford | Leamington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Leamington
3:1
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
Leamington vs Bedford
2:2
Mar 19, 2013 Southern Premier League
Leamington vs Bedford
3:0
Aug 18, 2012 Southern Premier League
Bedford vs Leamington
2:2
Mar 13, 2012 Southern Premier League
Bedford vs Leamington
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bedford Compare
Top Goalscorer Castiglione J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moncur G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Leamington Compare
Top Goalscorer Brogan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bedford 31 / 100
Leamington 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bedford Leamington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bedford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leamington let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Bedford found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Leamington lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bedford VS Leamington
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Bedford
(Home) 15 Aug
Bedford
2 : 3 Darlington FC
08 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 0 Bedford
01 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0 Bedford
18 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0 Walton & Hersham
14 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0 Biggleswade FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Bedford
2 : 3 Darlington FC
18 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0 Walton & Hersham
14 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0 Biggleswade FC
11 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0 Berkhamsted Town
07 Jul
Bedford
0 : 0 Aldershot
Page 1 of 4
Leamington
(Away) 15 Aug
Leamington
0 : 1 Kettering
11 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1 Anstey Nomads
08 Aug
Real Bedford
4 : 2 Leamington
01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1 Yate
17 Jul
Leamington
2 : 3 Coventry U21
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Real Bedford
4 : 2 Leamington
07 Jul
Sutton Coldfield Town
1 : 3 Leamington
25 Apr
Buxton
4 : 1 Leamington
11 Apr
Southport
1 : 2 Leamington
03 Apr
Bedford
3 : 1 Leamington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
