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Bedford vs Radcliffe

England England

National League North The Eyrie, Bedford
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Gyamfi E.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Bedford and Radcliffe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Bedford
15%
Draws
17%
Radcliffe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Radcliffe haven't matched Bedford's recent run of results.
  • 68% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bedford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bedford Clean Sheet 19%
Radcliffe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bedford Radcliffe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.34 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Radcliffe
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Radcliffe
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 National League North
Radcliffe vs Bedford
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyamfi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Radcliffe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bedford 31 / 100
Radcliffe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bedford Radcliffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radcliffe has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Bedford scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Bedford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Radcliffe registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bedford VS Radcliffe
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bedford

(Home)
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

Radcliffe

(Away)
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3
Oxford City
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1
Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
31 Aug
Radcliffe
0 : 1
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)