Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Evans R.
45'
45'
Nto E.
65'
65'
Moncur G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Bedford and Spennymoor finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bedford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bedford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bedford come out ahead of Spennymoor on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Bedford's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bedford Clean Sheet 20%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bedford | Spennymoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Spennymoor
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Bedford
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 National League North
Bedford vs Spennymoor
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bedford Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nto E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Spennymoor Compare
Top Goalscorer Mondal J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bedford 85 / 100
Spennymoor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bedford Spennymoor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bedford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Spennymoor conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Bedford scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Bedford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bedford VS Spennymoor
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bedford
(Home) 26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1 King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2 Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0 Radcliffe
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1 King’s Lynn
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0 Radcliffe
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1 Spennymoor
18 Aug
Bedford
2 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 4
Spennymoor
(Away) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1 Spennymoor
18 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
3 : 0 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
