Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bednja Beletinec vs Pitomaca

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kulji A.
39' Event
Klopotan J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Bednja Beletinec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bednja Beletinec
15%
Draws
34%
Pitomaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bednja Beletinec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bednja Beletinec come out ahead of Pitomaca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bednja Beletinec a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Bednja Beletinec have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bednja Beletinec, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Bednja Beletinec Clean Sheet 10%
Pitomaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bednja Beletinec Pitomaca
Matches Played 13 9
Wins 6 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2018 Croatian Cup
Bednja Beletinec vs Pitomaca
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bednja Beletinec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulji A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klopotan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Pitomaca Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bednja Beletinec 40 / 100
Pitomaca 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bednja Beletinec Pitomaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bednja Beletinec's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Pitomaca has conceded goals in 67% of their last 9 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pitomaca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bednja Beletinec VS Pitomaca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bednja Beletinec

(Home)
27 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
1 : 4
Karlovac
22 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rijeka
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
28 Aug
Bednja Beletinec
2 : 1
Orijent
19 Oct
Bednja Beletinec
0 : 3
Rudes
Page 1 of 3

Pitomaca

(Away)
18 Jul
Pitomaca
0 : 0
Bjelovar
27 Aug
NK Koprivnica
1 : 0
Pitomaca
11 Sept
Pitomaca
1 : 2
Rudes
28 Aug
Sava Strmec
0 : 7
Pitomaca
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
3 : 2
Pitomaca
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Din. Zagreb -
TBD -
NK Koprivnica 1
Sloga Mravince 3
GOSK Dubrovnik -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zelina -
Marsonia 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Kurilovec 3
Suhopolje 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Hajduk Split -
TBD -
Visnjevac 1
Vrapce 2
Nehaj Senj 4
Granicar Zupanja 1
TBD -
Sibenik -
Krk 3
Rudar Labin 0
TBD -
Cibalia -
Zagorec Krapina 9
NK Libertas Novska 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Zapresic -
TBD -
Pitomaca 0
Bednja Beletinec 2
Sloga Nova Gradiska 4
NK Nedelisce 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Luka Ploce 1
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
RNK Split -
Slavija Pleternica 1
Segesta 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Lok. Zagreb -
TBD -
Zagora 1
Primorac Biograd 3
Vukovar 1991 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
TBD -
Zadar -
Varazdin 3
Dragovoljac 0
Sava Strmec 0
Medjimurje 5
Radnik Krizevci 2
Rovinj 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
1/16-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Sloga Mravince 0
GOSK Dubrovnik 0
NK Zelina 2
Marsonia 3
NK Zagreb 0
Kurilovec 0
Slaven Belupo 2
Hajduk Split 2
Vrapce 0
Nehaj Senj 2
Sibenik 3
Krk 1
Cibalia 0
Zagorec Krapina 0
Osijek 3
Zapresic 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Sloga Nova Gradiska 2
Istra 1961 4
Jadran Luka Ploce 3
RNK Split 1
Slavija Pleternica 0
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 1
Primorac Biograd 0
Vukovar 1991 3
Zadar 5
Varazdin 2
Medjimurje 0
Radnik Krizevci 0
Rijeka 9
1/8-finals
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Zelina 0
Marsonia 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Hajduk Split 2
Sibenik 1
Krk 1
Osijek 5
Zapresic 2
Istra 1961 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Jaska Vinogradar 4
Lok. Zagreb 3
Zadar 1
Varazdin 1
Rijeka 2
Quarter-finals
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Osijek 2
Zapresic 3
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 2
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb 2
Osijek 0
Zapresic 1
Rijeka 2
Final
Din. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 3