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Beerschot VA vs Lierse SK Prediction & H2H Stats

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Proximus League 2017/2018
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Match Events

17'
Sub
Mbombo K. In: Octavio Manteca
Out: Mbombo K.
26' Event
Yagan Y.
31'
Weuts K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Proximus League 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Beerschot VA
15%
Draws
5%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beerschot VA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Beerschot VA have won more games recently than Lierse SK.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Beerschot VA taking it.
  • Regular Proximus League 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 17%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beerschot VA Lierse SK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Challenger Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Lierse SK
1:1
Jan 6, 2018 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Beerschot VA
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Challenger Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Lierse SK
4:0
Aug 13, 2017 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Beerschot VA
2:2
May 11, 1991 Jupiler Pro League
Lierse SK vs Beerschot VA
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beerschot VA Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoffer E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Lierse SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Yagan Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beerschot VA 84 / 100
Lierse SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beerschot VA Lierse SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beerschot VA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beerschot VA's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lierse SK conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Beerschot VA has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Beerschot VA VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Beerschot VA

(Home)
27 Sept
Crossing Schaerbeek
3 : 5
Beerschot VA
19 Sept
Hasselt
0 : 1
Beerschot VA
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
04 Sept
Beerschot VA
4 : 2
Patro Eisden
29 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Beerschot VA
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Lierse SK

(Away)
18 May
Waregem
5 : 0
Lierse SK
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5
SK Beveren
08 May
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 0
Lierse SK
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2
Leuven
28 Apr
Kortrijk
2 : 1
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cercle Brugge 28 14 8 6 50:34 50
2 Leuven 28 12 11 5 43:27 47
3 Beerschot VA 28 12 10 6 42:27 46
4 Lierse SK 28 11 6 11 35:47 39
5 KSV Roeselare 28 9 8 11 26:43 35
6 Royale Union SG 28 8 8 12 32:33 32
7 Westerlo 28 5 12 11 31:35 27
8 Tubize-Braine 28 4 11 13 21:34 23
Relegation - Proximus League 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Proximus League 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Proximus League 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Proximus League 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Proximus League 2017/2018 (Promotion)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Proximus League 2017/2018 (Promotion)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)